Once again it appears Turkey is trying to play both sides, NATO and Russia. Turkey is also supplying its suicide drones to the Ukrainian military, potentially to be used AGAINST Russian forces! At the same time Turkey is also supplying F-16s to Poland as part of a NATO agreement, once again to be used against Russia and last but not least Turkey and Azerbaijan are conducting massive exercises and simulating an invasion of Armenia proper. At some point Russia will have to intervene on behalf of Armenia AGAINST Turkey because of defense agreements. All of this comes just after FM Lavrov of Russia suggested joining the Turkish council. Russia and Turkey, I guess the millennials would say “it’s complicated.”
The following comes from warnews247 out of Greece. I’ve translated it to English for you using Google Translate.
“Russia and Turkey are close to a phase of conflict”
The revelation about the downing of the Su-24 will cost
Russia’s official leadership has not yet responded to a report by the media Nordic Monitor, which revealed that Colonel Ali Durmush said the downing of the Russian Su-24 fighter jet in 2015 was ordered by Turkish Air Force Commander Abidina Yunala. This news could lead to a deterioration of relations between Moscow and Ankara.
The official leadership of the Russian Federation is still very careful with the increasing military activity of Turkey. Moscow is mainly limited to its criticism of the Kiev-Ankara interaction in the military and military-diplomatic spheres.
The issue of Bayraktar and Ukraine
In particular, in April, journalists tried to discuss with Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov the issue of Russia’s reaction to the supply of a new batch of Turkish Bayraktar drones from Ukraine.
These aircraft, equipped with the Ukrainian army, regularly monitor the area near the Crimean border and are in combat positions in Donbass. In Kiev, they threatened to use this weapon against the Russian Federation in a possible armed conflict.
These new weapons provided to Ukraine further aggravate Moscow’s difficult relationship with the current leadership of Kiev. ” We will look into this case ,” Borisov said in response to a question from the media about whether Russia would suspend military-technical cooperation (MTC) with Turkey if Ankara supplied Ukraine with a new batch of drones.
The warning of the Russian Foreign Minister
But the other day in a briefing, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova criticized Ankara for the official statements of Turkish diplomat Tanju Bilgit that his country “will continue to support its brothers to rectify the situation of the Crimean Tatars.” they continue to struggle with difficulties, 77 years after the deportation “.
Zakharova described Ankara’s concern as “opportunistic”. “If this rhetoric continues, we should also pay attention to similar problems in Turkey. “We would not like to do that, so I hope the Turkish Foreign Ministry will listen to us today ,” Zakharova said. Her intervention was considered a diplomatic message to Turkey.
The issue of the Caucasus
Ankara, meanwhile, is ignoring these messages from Russia and on many issues continues to promote its interests not only in Ukraine but also in other parts of the CIS, trying to squeeze the position of the Russian Federation.
For example, while Moscow is making significant mediation efforts to normalize the situation on the border in the Karabakh conflict zone, Turkey is strengthening the combat capabilities of Azerbaijani military units concentrated near Armenia.
The scenarios of the Turkey-Azerbaijan exercise
According to Baku, last week’s Azeri military exercises included joint exercises with the Turkish army. It was reported that “during the exercise, special teams simulated covert penetration into enemy territory and ambush organization very deep against a specific enemy. In addition, they practiced occupying outposts and military installations.
Particular attention was paid to the organization of covert attacks, the destruction of sabotage groups, the suppression of hostile provocations and the study of the specifics of counter-terrorism operations. “Experts emphasize that a separate issue in these exercises was the use of Bayraktar aircraft,” not only for conducting strike missions, but also for conducting counter-terrorism operations with the participation of ground forces.
“Anatolian Phoenix 2021”
On May 24th, Ankara and Baku launched a new series of exercises called “Anatolian Phoenix 2021”. The exercise will start in Turkey and will last for two weeks.
According to media reports, “Azerbaijani forces, several Mi-17 helicopters, Search and Rescue Division from the Puta naval base will take part in the exercise.
Defender Europe 21
Simultaneously with this exercise, Turkey continues to transport troops to Romania to participate in the large-scale NATO exercise Defender Europe 21. Turkey participates with more than 200 armor and 1,300 soldiers.
It is still unknown whether the Azerbaijani soldiers will take part in these exercises. But Baku is clearly limiting military contacts with Moscow – in particular, for 2021 they are limited, compared to previous years.
“There is no doubt that Moscow can put pressure on Turkey to realize its geopolitical and military interests,” said military expert Yuri Netkachev, who has served in the South Caucasus for a long time.
Restrictive military measures will be taken
“But there are completely different goals for the Kremlin. The main ones are related to economic energy projects that Moscow has agreed with Turkey and Europe.
These projects, I think, will be implemented. Restrictive measures will be taken for defense plans in the field of military-technical cooperation, tourism, etc. “Someone in the West is calling these elements a hybrid war.”
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