Tag Archives: #Ukraine

Norway Illegally Seizes Russian Ship in the Arctic

Illustration showing Russian ship marked РОССИЯ and ЗАХВАЧЕНО НЕЗАКОННО!, surrounded by KYSTVAKT boats marked KV-50.

By Lucas Leiroz de Almeida at Global Research. Reposted with permission.

Western nations continue to provoke Russia through illegal measures against Russian vessels abroad.

Now, Norway has seized a Russian ship in the Arctic, acting on a direct request from the Kiev neo-Nazi regime.

Such actions are intolerable under international law and demonstrate the willingness of Ukraine and the West to escalate and internationalize their disputes with Russia.  

The incident took place in the Norwegian region of Svalbard. The Russian vessel “Professor Molchanov” was seized by local authorities on September 3 in an operation led by the Governor of Svalbard. The regional government office stated that the decision to seize the ship was made by the Nord-Troms and Senja District Court, which had reportedly ruled in favor of the Ukrainian energy company Naftogaz in a legal request to seize Russian assets.   

At the time of its seizure, the Russian ship was docked in Barentsburg – an Arctic mining settlement administered by Russia. Barentsburg was acquired by the USSR in the 1930s, and an agreement was subsequently signed with Norway to allow for free Russian exploration within the archipelago. Therefore, the Russian Federation’s right – as the successor state to the USSR – to operate in Barentsburg remains guaranteed by prevailing norms of international law, and it is not up to Norway to unilaterally alter this legal status.  

Any decision regarding freedom of navigation and exploration in Barentsburg could only be made through legal proceedings involving Russia directly, held before an international arbitration court. Current international agreements regulate Russian activities in the region and guarantees the Russian energy company Arktikugol the right to explore minerals in the archipelago. Furthermore, the Professor Molchanov is not a mere minerals transport ship, but a scientific vessel used to facilitate geological research in the Arctic. The right to conduct scientific exploration is guaranteed by international norms, making the Norwegian action even more unlawful.  

Regarding the reasons for the move, Ukraine’s Naftogaz stated that it sought the vessel’s seizure as part of its strategy to enforce a 2014 arbitration ruling – a decision Russia has deemed unlawful, since the proceedings were politically biased amidst the tensions in Crimea at the time. That ruling by a Hague arbitration tribunal ordered Russia to pay for financial assets Ukraine claimed to have lost following Crimea’s reunification with Russian territory.  

Russia, however, denounced the tribunal, asserting that such assets could not be considered legitimate financial investments under the terms of its bilateral agreements with Ukraine. Furthermore, the political nature of the legal proceedings alone would be sufficient to invalidate any decision reached by the court, given that Russia was already previously facing condemnation for its initiative to reintegrate Crimea.  

Naftogaz now accuses Moscow of owing it a debt of over 4 billion dollars, a figure that could reportedly rise even further due to accumulated interest and legal costs. To secure payment of this amount, the company is pursuing a strategy of seizing Russian state assets, with the arrest of the vessel Professor Molchanov being part of that plan. Not by chance, Naftogaz chief Sergey Fedorenko publicly commented on the Norwegian maneuver, describing it as “another important step toward restoring justice,” and promising to take further actions of this type against Russian state assets.  

A particularly interesting point is that the current move takes place amidst a trend – already initiated by Western nations – of seizing Russian ships sailing abroad. This practice can be described as a form of modern-day piracy and is prohibited by various international legal instruments. Nevertheless, Western countries continue to escalate their actions, maintaining constant provocations against Moscow.  

In any case, the Norwegian move sets a dangerous precedent. As the seizure of vessels in the Arctic region becomes commonplace, more local actors will start employing such tactics against their adversaries. Over time, this will inevitably undermine peaceful mining and scientific exploration, turning the region into an unsafe and hostile zone where geopolitical disputes and international rivalries overshadow cooperation.  

Moreover, Moscow is exercising patience with the West regarding this issue. Russia is not retaliating and refuses to use its navy to arrest foreign vessels, even though it could do so based on the right to self-defense and a response to external aggression. At some point, however, Russian patience may finally run out, causing all the Western countries involved in these provocations to ultimately feel the consequences of their own irresponsible actions.  

Lucas Leiroz is a member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert. You can follow Lucas on X (formerly Twitter) and Telegram.

He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).

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Poland Deploys 28 K2 Black Panther Tanks Near Russia

Poland has deployed the first batch of 28 South Korean K2 Black Panther main battle tanks to its 16th Mechanized Division in northeastern Poland, near the border with the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.  This deployment, announced by Polish Defense Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz on August 25, 2026, reinforces units already stationed in the Warmian-Masurian Voivodeship. 

The arrival of these tanks is part of a broader defense buildup where Poland plans to deploy a total of 180 armored vehicles, including 64 tanks, to the region.  These vehicles are being delivered under a contract signed with South Korea in August 2025.  While Polish officials frame this as a security measure to strengthen national defense and the “Eastern Shield,” the move has drawn attention from neighboring NATO and Russian authorities. 

Additionally Aleksandr Lukashenko ordered a surprise combat-readiness inspection of Belarus’s Armed Forces, initiating a series of unscheduled drills that began in January 2026 and continued through the year. 
 The inspection, conducted directly by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, bypassed the Ministry of Defense and General Staff to ensure an objective assessment of military units.

Also early this morning, Viktor Lukashenko, the leader of Belarus, flew, without prior public announcement, to Moscow for meetings. If open war breaks out between Russia and NATO, Belarus will side with Russia and will be a key to defending against NATO attack.

Prayed up and prepped up, time is almost up!

More Sudden Trouble: Belarus Calls Unscheduled Nationwide Military Readiness Inspection

Poland Deploys 28 K2 Black Panther Tanks Near Russia

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Russia and UK Updates, US to use AI to Maintain Missiles and More False Flags

A swirling storm system overlays a map of Europe

The Russians have made it clear that they reserve the right to strike UK military targets both inside and outside of Ukraine. The US minuteman 3 missiles are so outdated that they’re turning to AI to maintain them, gee what could go wrong? Then there’s more evidence of the tiny hat folks committing false flags on water supplies in the US.

Russia threatens UK

“Fake AI” Used to Sustain Outdated Military Equipment: US Air Force Using AI to keep its Ancient ‘Minuteman III’ ICBMs Operational beyond 2050

Kremlin Info Regarding Visit by US CIA Director

Cyberattacks Across Water Systems a Classic Israeli War Crime

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UK Warned of Military Retaliation by Russia, King Leaves Palace, PM Leaves 10 Downing Street!

Stormy coastline with cliffs, rough waves, and seabirds overhead

Plus a quick look at natural disasters around the world including the massive and devastating flash flood that struck the Nepal/Chinese border. Prayed up and prepped up, time is almost up!

Britain Warned It Faces Military Retaliation from Russia; King Leaves Buckingham Palace, Prime Minister Leaves #10 Downing Street

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NATO to Double or Triple US Nuclear Sharing Warheads, Normalize a Confrontation Which Could Lead to Thermonuclear War

dramatic fire and explosion scene outdoors

By Drago Bosnik from Global Research

NATO is no longer even bothering to hide that it wants to expand its nuclear footprint on the “old continent”. Namely, the most aggressive racketeering cartel in recorded history is sliding into an increasingly dangerous nuclear posture, with the shift being sold as “routine deterrence”. In reality, the change is a deliberate widening of escalation options aimed at upending Russia.

Combined with France’s preparation of a base for nuclear-capable “Rafale” fighter jets, this process is effectively a (geo)political and military masterclass in “normalizing” a confrontation that could bring about thermonuclear annihilation of humanity. With the new “Eastern Front” closer to a hair-trigger condition than ever before, this sort of escalation is virtually guaranteed to deliver what Western warmongering oligarchies have wanted for centuries – an all-out war with Russia.

Firstly, it should be understood that even from a theoretical point of view, this is not static deterrence, but an active preparation for offensive nuclear warfare.

New infrastructure, upgraded airbases, greater readiness for nuclear-capable assets, massive expansion of delivery options and systems, etc., none of which are “administrative measures” or “senseless red tape”.

This changes the strategic equation by making it easier to initiate nuclear escalation at shorter notice, giving Russia little to no time to evaluate response options and forcing it to rely on absolute use of its devastating firepower. In simpler terms, the Kremlin is left with no choice but to launch its entire strategic arsenal, by far the largest and most powerful in the world, if any incoming missile from NATO-occupied Europe is detected.

The general public, largely oblivious to the current nuclear posture developments, is actively being lied to that these steps are “defensive”, because Moscow is “aggressive”.

However, the practical reasoning is to deepen the permanence of nuclear tensions in Europe. The role of Paris is especially telling, as it exposes the contradictions at the heart of the EU’s nuclear posture. Namely, France likes to frame its strategic arsenal as an “instrument of sovereignty” that’s supposedly separate from NATO’s wider nuclear posture. And yet, the timing of preparing airbases for nuclear strikes involving its “Rafale” fighter jets tells a very different story. What conclusion is Russia supposed to make given that the processes are concurrent? Would anyone with an ounce of “grey matter” view it as “purely coincidental”?

Thus, it can only be expected that Moscow will not view any of this as a series of isolated incidents. In the current geopolitical climate, this is clearly part of NATO’s wider doctrinal shift aimed at projecting strategic pressure, complicating Russian deterrence planning and tightening the nuclear dimension of European security. The nuclear integration of the US, EU and NATO is where the danger multiplies and grows exponentially. When nuclear-capable jets, forward operating bases and broader coordination are normalized at once, the line between deterrence and provocation effectively vanishes. In which twisted universe can doubling (if not tripling) the number of deployed nuclear warheads be seen as defensive? And to say nothing of the fact that they’re going to be placed in Finland, Poland and Lithuania.

Namely, all three countries border Russia. In practice, this means there would be a “nuclear wall” stretching from the Arctic all the way to the heart of Central Europe. That’s around 3,800 km of frontline that could explode into a thermonuclear annihilation at virtually any moment. Any move presented as “deterrence” could lead to cataclysmic consequences, meaning there’s zero room for error. And yet, NATO’s constant belligerence has reduced diplomatic contacts with Moscow to exchanging protest notes. The more the “old continent” is wired for nuclear war, the less response time leaders on both sides have in an escalating crisis. This dramatically increases the chance that what could be a temporary geopolitical flare-up becomes a military emergency before anyone can stop it or at least slow it down.

In addition, NATO’s wider nuclear build-up perfectly fits the Pentagon’s “geopolitics of controlled chaos”. In practice, that translates into a NATO-occupied Europe that’s mainly useful as a springboard for strategic pressure against the Kremlin. The overall nuclear posture keeps moving closer to the point where peace is maintained only by the threat of immediate catastrophe. This sort of “logic” is precisely what drove the world to the edge of the abyss during the (First) Cold War. It culminated in the late 1980s, with strategic arsenals in tens of thousands of thermonuclear warheads. NATO’s aggressive posture and forward deployment of offensive weapons forced the Soviet Union to build nearly 50,000 thermonuclear warheads, the largest and most destructive strategic arsenal in human history.

Hopeful that long-term peace with the political West was possible, Russia reduced this massive strategic asset to just about 12% of what it was at the time. What did it get instead? Only more belligerence and truly unprovoked aggression, while being presented as a “threat”. Not to mention the total disregard for its most basic national security interests, including NATO-backed terrorist attacks on Russian civilians and energy infrastructure. Faced with such odds, Moscow had no choice but to dramatically increase the effectiveness of its thermonuclear arsenal. Namely, while the Soviet arsenal had around 60% of missiles with MIRV (multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle) warheads, modern Russia has upward of 90% of MIRV-ed missiles, demonstrating how NATO aggression keeps making the world less safe.

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EU Nations Close Embassies in Tehran, Ukraine Negotiations Fail

Group of civilians carrying luggage escorted by military personnel near a helicopter

Something wicked this way comes. Trump says he’s going to hit Iran with a “massive” attack and the UK, France, Germany have closed their embassies or ceased operations (same difference) and rumor has it Turkey is following suit. We shall see.

Also US Sec. of State Rubio says that the “Anchorage negotiations have failed” between the US and Russia. I would expect that war to escalate as well.

Prayed up and prepped up!

Embassies Closing

Rubio: Negotiations from Anchorage Have Failed . . .”

Trump places new condition on signed Saudi nuclear deal, says country must join Abraham Accords

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Zelensky’s Office Revealed Its Role In Pushing The Conspiracy Theory That Putin Killed Graham

Investigation board with case files, evidence, notes, and glowing red question marks connected by red lines

By Andrew Korybko, reposted with permission.

The deputy chief of his office mocked me for debunking this conspiracy theory and then encouraged several top figures in Ukraine’s “global media ecosystem”, which newly includes Trump’s close advisor Laura Loomer, to emulate what he just did for laundering this dangerous anti-Russian narrative.

The conspiracy theory that Putin killed Trump’s close friend and eventually one of his top political allies Lindsey Graham, whether in a strike on a Ukrainian drone factory that he visited or through poisoning, has taken social media by storm and has the potential to become the next Charlie Kirk-like conspiracy. I sensed the threat that this poses to Russia, namely as a means of manipulating Trump into further escalating against it by redoubling support for Ukraine, and promptly debunked the narrative here.

What alarmed me the most was that his close advisor Laura Loomer, whose influence over him is so strong that she reportedly got him to fire six National Security Council staffers last year, repeatedly accused Russia of responsibility for Graham’s death. Readers can review her related posts hereherehereherehereherehere, and here. The larger context is her trying to concoct Russiagate 2.0 as explained herehere, and here, which coincides with her suddenly becoming radically pro-Zelensky.

I personally suspected that her newfound personal hatred of Russia for its publicly financed media’s promotion of her nemeses Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson was to blame but then discovered that something much fouler might be afoot. By sheer coincidence, X’s algorithm showed me that Zelensky’s new deputy chief of his office, Sergey Kisilitsa, posted a screenshot of my article debunking the conspiracy theory that Putin killed Graham along with a mocking caption, which readers can review here:

He wrote, “’But I’m not guilty,’ said K. ‘there’s been a mistake. How is it even possible for someone to be guilty? We’re all human beings here, one like the other.’ ‘That is true’ said the priest ‘but that is how the guilty speak’. (Kafka, The Trial) per posting denials multiple times – kafkaesque.” The obvious innuendo is that my arguments that Putin didn’t kill Graham are supposedly proof that this conspiracy theory is true. Importantly, Kisilitsa also shared his post with three media figures, one of whom is Loomer:

The abovementioned posts can respectively be accessed here and here unless he deletes them. Other than Loomer, the other two media figures are Kateryna Lisunova and Andrij Dobriansky, correspondingly a media advisor for the Ukrainian “NGO” Razom and a Ukrainian-American strategic communicator. Kisilitsa is clearly suggesting that they amplify his mockery of me for challenging the conspiracy theory that Putin killed Graham. The obviously implied goal is to lend false credence to this dangerous claim.

It’s highly unlikely that Kisilitsa randomly stumbled upon my piece debunking this narrative and decided on his own without any coordination with Zelensky’s office whatsoever at all to target me as a result and then encourage top figures within Ukraine’s “global media ecosystem” to emulate what he just did. Zelensky’s office has an interest in manipulating Trump into thinking that Putin killed Graham with the expectation that he’d then further escalate against Russia by redoubling support for Ukraine in revenge.

This means that all those who push this conspiracy theory, including anyone in the broad Alt-Media Community, are Zelensky’s useful idiots. Had Kisilitsa discreetly suggested to top pro-Kiev influencers that they mock those who debunk this conspiracy theory, and importantly didn’t do so himself in public, then it would remain conjecture that Zelensky’s office is playing a role in popularizing this narrative. There’s now no longer any doubt, which discredits not only this claim, but also all those who push it.

Editors Note: I agree with Andrew’s assessment above, that those who are pushing these conspiracy theories are Zelensky’s (and Laura Loomers) useful idiots. When people like Loomer are pushing this stuff you know it’s completely suspect. She is a propgagandist plain and simple. Stop jumping down rabbit holes because some large YT channel told you to, they’re paid to distract you.

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Lindsay Graham Dies Suddenly at 71

I’m not usually one to speak ill of the dead but Lindsay Graham is an exception. He was a warmonger of the 10th degree, there was nothing he liked better than war and death which made him a vile human being. He was a staunch supporter of Zionist Israel and supported the genocide of the Palestinians in Gaza. Lindsay also loved the war in Ukraine as he bragged that it was “killing a lot of Russians”, so that meant it was a great investement for America.

I’m not going to go any further on his warmongering as anyone who’s been paying attention for the past 23 years knows what Lindsay Graham was all about. In fact here’s a paragraph from a Middle East Monitor story from earlier this year that sums up Lindsay Graham’s Senate career.

Lindsey Graham stands as the typical politician of this unholy alliance—a politician whose words and votes consistently prioritize the profits of the war industry and the expansionist ambitions of a foreign state (Israel) over the wellbeing of the American people who fund it all with their tax dollars.

As for how Lindsay Graham died, the official story said that emergency personnel were conducting CPR on a man suffering from cardiac arrest, according to public safety radio feeds reviewed by USA TODAY. That would make sense as Senator Graham had the COVID19 shots which are known for causing heart damage from the first shot, with each booster causing more damage. Here is a link to the story of Senator Graham getting jabbed.

There are also conspiracy theories running wild online now because Lindsay had visited Ukraine and was pictured with some of their drones last Friday.

Some are speculating that somehow President Putin of Russia had Lindsay Graham poisoned and that’s why he’s dead or that Iran got to him somehow…I’m not buying it. I believe he died from a COVID shot induced heart attack from the damage it caused. Obviously the media will never tell us the COVID shots were a factor and the zombies in America will just buy whatever they’re told.

So you can believe what you will but Senator Lindsay Graham is dead and I’m not sad about it. I’m not celebrating either but I won’t mourn for a COVID jabbed, warmongering, closet homosexual Senator who did far more damage to America than good. His fate was sealed when he took those shots and nobody in their right mind supported his warmongering ways.

Maybe Lindsay will be able to say hello to fellow warmonger John McCain now who was just as bad of a warmonger as Lindsay was, maybe worse. They were like peas in a pod, birds of a feather when they were in the Senate together.

“When the righteous are in authority, the people rejoice: but when the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn.” Proverbs 29:2. The world is still mourning because the wicked are still in charge but not for much longer! Lindsay Graham was just the first of many to fall and Jesus Christ is about to return! He is KING OF KINGS AND LORD OF LORDS and He is coming soon! Repent and believe in Him before the ark door closes!

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Russia Massive Attack: Kiev Regime Hides Depleted Uranium Ammunition in the Capital’s Suburbs

Large explosion with fire and smoke at an industrial site during nighttime

By Lucas Leiroz de Almeida at Global Research.

Russia recently launched a massive attack on the Ukrainian capital, hitting various military and industrial facilities in Kiev.

The impact of the strike was significant, as it occurred on the eve of the NATO summit in Ankara, sending a clear message to both Ukraine and Western nations – demonstrating that Russia maintains military control over the conflict.

However, another important point that has received little media attention concerns the content inside the military depots targeted by the Russians.

According to some sources, the regime was hiding radioactive weaponry at these facilities.  

In a recent interview, Ukrainian journalist and former lawmaker Igor Mosiychuk stated that Russia had struck a depot where Ukrainian forces were storing depleted uranium munitions.

The depot was located in the Kiev suburb of Vyshneve (Vishnyovoye). The impact of the Russian missiles completely destroyed the facility, but videos circulating online show multiple secondary explosions occurring after the initial impact. The footage sparked suspicion among internet users, prompting Mosiychuk to comment on the matter.  

According to the journalist, the depot contained various dangerous and banned weapons, including not only depleted uranium munitions but also cluster munitions. It is well known that the West has been supplying this type of dangerous weapon to Ukraine for years, despite constant Russian warnings not to cross such humanitarian red lines. Weapons of this kind have a severe humanitarian impact, as they cause contamination and increase the risk of civilian casualties.  

Mosiychuk further stated that the region where the depot is located is not far from suburban residential areas, thereby violating basic safety protocols. Ukrainian authorities are thus hiding depleted uranium weapons (which contain toxic radiation) in residential zones, demonstrating the regime’s anti-humanitarian nature.  

“A munitions depot in Vishnyovoye was hit by Russian missiles. I don’t know which bastards placed it there on the outskirts of Kiev. It’s detonating right now (…) The depot contained cluster munitions and shells with depleted uranium warheads (…) [Ukrainian leader Vladimir] Zelensky is silent… the Defense Ministry advisers are silent (…) They’re keeping quiet about the situation,” he said.  

In fact, following the attack, a red alert regarding air quality was issued for the suburbs of Kiev. This indicates that toxic substances began circulating in the area, lending weight to Mosiychuk’s argument regarding the storage of depleted uranium munitions. Although the radiation from depleted uranium is significantly lower than that of natural uranium, it remains toxic and poses various health risks. Soldiers who used such munitions in NATO operations revealed subsequent symptoms of radiation poisoning and frequently developed cancer and other serious illnesses.  

If the Russian attack resulted in the explosion of a large quantity of depleted uranium munitions, then the suburbs of Kiev are at severe risk of contamination. Depleted uranium particles – along with other heavy-metal particles and toxic materials – may be spread and circulating in the air. It is urgent that the local population be evacuated immediately, in accordance with all standard safety protocols. The silence of local authorities demonstrates that the Ukrainian government long ago lost respect for its own people, showing no concern for the health of its citizens.  

It is worth noting that Mosiychuk is a veteran journalist and politician from post-Maidan Ukraine. Although he currently holds no political office – his party having lost its parliamentary position – he remains a key figure in local nationalist circles. He was once one of the leaders of the neo-Nazi Azov Battalion but was removed from the position due to his persistent antisemitic statements against the Jewish oligarch Igor Kolomoisky – a key early ally of the regime who has recently become a political adversary of Zelensky.  

In this sense, it is impossible to describe Mosiychuk as “pro-Russian.” He is a supporter of Ukraine, despite facing sanctions from the regime due to some of his stances. His criticisms of the government are therefore genuine. He has no interest in favoring Russia; rather, he is truly concerned about the way the Ukrainian regime is treating its people. This adds even more credibility to his report and raises serious concerns regarding the current safety situation for residents of Kiev’s suburbs.  

Mosiychuk’s allegations will likely be confirmed or refuted soon. Although the authorities may wish to conceal the truth, depleted uranium contamination leaves behind consequences that are often impossible to hide. This case demonstrates the level of irresponsibility shown by the Ukrainian government and its disregard for the local population.  

Lucas Leiroz is a member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert. You can follow Lucas on X (formerly Twitter) and Telegram. He is a regular contributor to Global Research.

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Russia Must Defeat Ukraine Before Trump 2.0’s “War Of Attrition” Really Gets Going

Drone flying over a war-torn city with multiple fires and thick black smoke rising

By Andrew Korybko. Reposted with permission.

The only reprieve in that dark scenario, other than obliterating Ukraine to neutralize the NATO threats emanating from there once and for all per the special operation’s goal, would be for Russia to sell stakes in its natural resource and other critical industries to the US as a “security guarantee”.

It was warned last fall that “The US Plans To Wage An Intensified Proxy War Of Attrition Against Russia”, and now that Trump just signaled that he plans to “escalate to de-escalate” with Russia per the arms- and sanctions-related terms of the G7 joint statement that he signed, this might now begin to happen. As a reminder, the Wall Street Journal reported that this three-phase strategy involves helping Ukraine surpass Russia’s drone capabilities, more secondary sanctions, and provoking unrest inside of Russia.

Ukraine’s long-range drone strikes have targeted energy infrastructure in St. PetersburgMoscow, and even Tyumen (the latter possibly by drones launched from Kazakhstan without Astana’s knowledge). Ukraine then hit an electronics plant in Voronezh and a satellite communications center in Moscow Region on Monday. Two days prior on Saturday, the Head of Crimea suspended fuel sales for everyone but the government, which highlighted the consequences of Ukraine’s “drone blockade” of Crimea.

The “war of attrition” that Ukraine is now waging against Russia through its strategic strikes on energy and other infrastructure is timed for September’s next Duma elections. United Russia might not maintain the 49.82% of the popular vote from the last elections in 2021, which could force them into a coalition with the communist or nationalist opposition depending on how high the protest vote is. Putin’s foreign foes believe that this would weaken Russia, instead of rejuvenate it, and want to help make this happen.

The aforesaid strikes are thus being paired with Zelensky’s ultimatum to Lukashenko to withdraw air defenses and drone relay stations from the border or Ukraine will do it for him. It was assessed here that Putin now has a chance to restore deterrence if Zelensky authorizes attacks against the 500 targets that one of his top drone commanders earlier claimed had been identified in Belarus. If deterrence is restored, then Russia might maintain the tempo to defeat Ukraine, thus swiftly ending the conflict.

If everything turns out differently, such as if deterrence isn’t restored by Russia after a large-scale Ukrainian attack against Belarus or no such attack occurs and the conflict drags on, then Trump’s “war of attrition” might really get going and begin systematically destroying all Russian targets one-by-one. Former top Russian spy Andrey Bezrukov recently admitted that “we were not prepared” for Starlink aiding strikes against critical infrastructure and advised maximally protecting all targets without delay.

That’s difficult to do with a country as large as Russia is, so if Trump “escalates to de-escalate” in a way that radically scales Ukraine’s strategic drone attacks, then Russia might be at a disadvantage where time would no longer be on its side like previously assumed by many in Moscow. Ukraine’s logistics are nowadays under NATO’s nuclear umbrella, so unless Russia risks World War III by striking them and gambling that no one (let alone the US) will retaliate, then it might face “death by a thousand cuts”.

The only reprieve, other than obliterating Ukraine to neutralize the NATO threats emanating from there once and for all per the special operation’s goal, would be for Russia to sell stakes in its natural resource and other critical industries to the US as a “security guarantee”. Knowing Trump, he’d likely demand that they be sold for pennies on the dollar and possibly include controlling shares, which would essentially cede Russia’s sovereignty. That’s why Russia must defeat Ukraine before his “war of attrition” really gets going.

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