Tag Archives: India

The New Russian-Indian Military Logistics Pact Sends Five Messages To The World

Three glowing orbs stacked above a magical circle on an ancient world map with mystical symbols

By Andrew Korybko. Reposted with permission.

Russia isn’t at risk of becoming a Chinese vassal nor is India at risk of becoming an American one.

Russia’s legal information portal recently published the details of last year’s “Reciprocal Exchange of Logistics Support” (RELOS) military logistics pact with India. RT’s Air Marshal Anil Chopra (Retired) wrote a detailed analysis about it here, drawing attention to how it “allows for the simultaneous deployment of up to 3,000 troops, five warships, and ten aircraft to be stationed on each other’s soil.” There’s more to it, however, as this analysis will explain. Here are the five messages that RELOS sends to the world:

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1. Russia & India Remain Each Other’s Special & Privileged Strategic Partner

Pepe Escobar falsely claimed in mid-March that India “betrayed” Russia, yet that couldn’t be further from the truth after RELOS, which restores Russia’s Old Cold War-era permanent military presence in the Indian Ocean Region. Likewise, India will now obtain an unprecedented permanent military presence in the Russian Far East and Arctic if it so chooses, thus symbolizing the strength of their special and privileged strategic partnership. Speculation about a rift between them is therefore bonafide fake news.

2. Russia Is Preemptively Averting Disproportionate Dependence On China

Building upon the above, India’s military presence in Russia’s Far East is a matter of prestige for Delhi vis-à-vis Beijing even though there’s no chance that Moscow would authorize offensive operations from its territory. Nevertheless, the message to China and the rest of the world is clear, and it’s that Russia is preemptively averting disproportionate dependence on China. If it were already its vassal or on the way thereto as some claim, then Russia would never allow India to deploy its forces near the Chinese border.

3. Massive Japanese, South Korean, & Taiwanese Investments Might Follow

The Russian-US “New Détente” that’s being negotiated could see phased sanctions relief after the end of hostilities with Ukraine, which could lead to massive Japanese, South Korean, and Taiwanese investments in the resource-rich Russian Far East that Moscow just signaled isn’t a Chinese fief as some claimed. Knowing now for sure that Russia isn’t a Chinese vassal or on the way thereto as explained, they might then feel more comfortable investing at scale there, thus accelerating Russia’s “Pivot to Asia”.

4. Russia Won’t Let China Dominate The Arctic Like Some Claimed It Would

CNN and others have long fearmongered that Russia would let China dominate the Arctic upon becoming its vassal, hence the urgent need for NATO to militarize the region. That was never a credible scenario, however, but it’s now debunked due to RELOS allowing Western-friendly India to establish a military presence there if it wants one. India very well might do so too, not only for reasons of prestige (including vis-à-vis China), but to present itself as a responsible stakeholder in the Northern Sea Route.

5. India Has Now Become Russia’s Privileged Energy Partner In The Arctic

A key Chinese company pulled out of Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 megaproject in summer 2024 under Western sanctions pressure, which deeply disappointed some in Russia, who expected that the People’s Republic would show more of a spine in the face of these threats. With India now poised to establish a military presence in the Arctic, thus expanding their special and privileged partnership to this region, it’s expected to be given the first choice over all others for investments there once the sanctions are lifted.

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These five messages collectively show that Russia isn’t at risk of becoming a Chinese vassal nor is India at risk of becoming an American one. To the contrary, they’re once again relying on one another to preemptively avert the aforesaid scenarios through the strengthening of their complementary balancing acts, which takes the form of RELOS in this example. That military logistics pact therefore accelerates multipolar processes and thus reduces the chances of a future Sino-US bi-multipolar world order.

Ukrainian Mercenaries Were Caught Training Indian-Designated Terrorists In Drone Warfare

By Andrew Korybko Reposted with permission. Link to his blog HERE.

Whether this was done at the US’ behest or behind the US’ back remains to be determined, but there’s no doubt that this is an extremely unfriendly move, and it’s also very likely that Russia tipped India off.

Six Ukrainians and one American were just arrested in India on the grounds that they illegally crossed from there into neighboring Myanmar to train Indian-designated terrorists in drone warfare. For those who aren’t aware, Northeast India has historically been the scene of multiple ethno-separatist insurgencies since independence, and some of these groups now take refuge in war-torn Myanmar and train there. The most recent conflict to erupt was in Manipur in early 2023 and was reviewed here at the time.

Three factors are reshaping regional geopolitics. The most important one is the détente between India and the US brought about by their as-yet-unsigned trade deal after several years of tense ties under Biden and the first year of Trump 2.0. This is followed by Bangladesh’s post-Hasina “Pakistanization” after its US-backed coup in summer 2024 and then the latest round of Myanmar’s civil war in which the US is suspected of backing anti-government groups but also wants critical minerals from the junta too.

Accordingly, while the US is now on better terms with India, it’s still continuing to contain it through Bangladesh and might want India to allow its border regions to be used for arming anti-government groups in Myanmar for coercing the junta into a critical minerals deal. India is neutral in that war despite having pragmatic ties with the junta and many sympathizing with the unarmed members of the political opposition, however, so one hypothesis is that the US didn’t ask and is doing this behind India’s back.

If that’s the case, then Trump either signed off on it or his “deep state” is also going behind his own back as well, perhaps to unilaterally make progress on the geopolitical project that the former Bangladeshi leader warned about in early 2024 regarding the carving out of a Christian proxy state in the region. Either scenario would bode ill for their newfound détente, but there’s another one that should be considered too, and it’s that Ukraine is doing this on its own initiative without US approval.

Zelensky declared in late January that “Ukraine needs a dedicated, strong intelligence unit capable of operating abroad at a level comparable to the world’s best combat foreign intelligence agencies. Your perspective lies in external operations – not just influence, not just the collection of data or recruitment of agents, but real combat and other asymmetric operations that are essential to protecting Ukraine’s interests.” This follows Ukraine’s mercenary activity in Sudan and Mali that aligns with US interests.

Sometimes its mercenary activity goes against the US’ interests, however, such as with regard to Russia’s accusation that Ukraine has clandestinely partnered with Rwandan-backed rebels in that country’s conflict with the Congo whose resource-centric peace deal Trump brokered last year. This precedent suggests that it might have also gone behind the US’ back in India, likely for cash, or the US could throw Ukraine under the bus on this pretext after India busted what might have actually been a joint operation.

Hopefully the public will be updated about this investigation given the political importance of this case. At the very least, Ukraine was training Indian-designated terrorists in drone warfare, and possibly at the US’ behest. It’s also likely that India was tipped off by Russia, which closely monitors all Ukrainian mercenary activity, thus further debunking the viral claim that Russia believes that India “betrayed” it. The reality is that they’re working hand-in-hand to stop Ukrainian mercenaries in the region.

India and Pakistan are edging closer to war

Editors note: This is something to keep our eyes on as well since India and Pakistan both have nuclear weapons and have threatened to use them in the past. The red horse of Revelation is riding, taking peace from the earth!

Tensions between India and Pakistan appear to be on the rise again after both countries’ capitals were rocked by deadly blasts just a day apart from each other, fueling fears of another full-blown clash this year.

On Tuesday afternoon, a suicide bomber self-detonated next to a police car outside a court building in Islamabad, killing at least 12 others and wounding at least 27. Many of those killed or injured were passersby or people attending court appointments, according to Islamabad police.

The leader of the Jamaat-ul-Ahrar group, a splinter faction of the Pakistani Taliban or Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), claimed responsibility for the attack, according to the Associated Press, although another commander from the group denied association with the attack. The group has split from and remerged with TTP on a number of occasions, including breaking away in 2022 after its leader was killed in a bombing in Afghanistan. A TTP spokesperson disclaimed involvement in Tuesday’s attack.

But Islamabad has been quick to point fingers at New Delhi, even as it says it is still investigating the attack. The Prime Minister’s Office in Islamabad appeared to blame India for the attack, calling it one of the “worst examples of Indian state-sponsored terrorism in the region.” Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi also claimed the attack was “carried out by Indian-backed elements and Afghan Taliban proxies.”

“We are in a state of war,” Pakistan’s Defence Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif said in a post on X that did not name India and blamed the Taliban government in Afghanistan. “Anyone who thinks that the Pakistan Army is fighting this war in the Afghan-Pakistan border region and the remote areas of Balochistan should take today’s suicide attack at the Islamabad district courts as a wake-up call: this is a war for all of Pakistan, in which the Pakistan Army is giving daily sacrifices and making the people feel secure.”

India rejected accusations of its involvement, calling them “baseless and unfounded allegations being made by an obviously delirious Pakistani leadership.”

“It is a predictable tactic by Pakistan to concoct false narratives against India in order to deflect the attention of its own public from the ongoing military-inspired constitutional subversion and power-grab unfolding within the country,” Randhir Jaiswal, a spokesperson for India’s Ministry of External Affairs, said in a statement. “The international community is well aware of the reality and will not be misled by Pakistan’s desperate diversionary ploys.”

Less than 24 hours earlier, a car explosion in New Delhi on Monday night killed at least 10 people and injured more than 30 others. The car went up in flames near the city’s historic 17th century Red Fort, or Lal Qila, which is a symbol of India’s independence and a popular area for tourists. Indian authorities have said the incident is under investigation and have not publicly identified any suspects. The case is being investigated by India’s counter-terrorism law enforcement agency, the National Investigation Agency, and Indian authorities invoked the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, an anti-terror law which allows security forces to detain suspects without trial. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowed that India’s “agencies will go to the root of this conspiracy and will not spare the conspirators behind it.”Even so, some in India have already cast blame on Pakistan. Indian media reported links between the driver, reportedly a Kashmiri resident, and a Pakistani militant group. Meanwhile, social media users and reports have recalled the language of the deadly armed conflict with Pakistan earlier this year, calling the Delhi attack an “act of war.”

You can read the rest of the story over at Time. https://time.com/7333189/india-pakistan-car-explosion-suicide-bomber-attack-terrorism-afghanistan-taliban/

Story on Ukraine Defenses Collapsing

Russian Army Advances 100KM per day

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The Stage Is Set For A US-Instigated Security Dilemma Between The Eurasian Rimland & Heartland

Guest Post by Andrew Korybko

US-backed NATO, Pakistan, and the “Asian/Containment Crescent” of Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines are poised to respectively face off against Russia, India, and China across this century.

The US is sending mixed signals about the SinoRusso Entente, which was strengthened by the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline deal, after Trump said in September that he’s “not concerned” about it while Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed that he ordered him to “re-establish deterrence” against them. As was argued here, “Trump 2.0’s Eurasian Balancing Act Has Failed” largely as a result of this development, which importantly involved India’s tacit approval amidst its rapprochement with China.

Far from remaining divided, principally as regards China and India with all the complications that their continued rivalry would entail for Russia’s own balancing act, Eurasia’s three most powerful civilization-states are increasingly coming together to revive their dormant Russia-India-China (RIC) format. This platform is significant on its own but it’s also crucially the core of BRICS and the SCO, which play complementary roles in gradually transforming global governance as explained here.

These RIC-accelerated multipolar processes can’t be countered through direct military force, however, but the way in which the Pentagon might try to slow everything down is through provoking arms races. NATO’s, Pakistan’s, and the “Asian/Containment Crescent’s” (Japan-Taiwan-Philippines) US-backed military buildups (partial in Pakistan’s case) could help achieve this vis-à-vis Russia, India, and China as could reinforced US military presences (or a formal return in Pakistan’s case) in each.

Likewise, the “Golden Dome”, intermediate-range missile deployments in their regions, and more militarization of outer space can place additional pressure on Russia and China to this end, though these moves could also backfire by enhancing those two’s military-technical coordination too. To be clear, Russia and China aren’t allies that would go to war for one another, but their shared military-security and strategic interests raise the chances that they’ll provide support for the other during wartime.

China has thus far eschewed sending military-technical aid to Russia due to its complex interdependence with the West, but Trump’s tariff war, his accusation that President Xi Jinping is “conspiring” against the US, and the Pentagon’s plans for the “Asian/Containment Crescent” might prompt a recalculation. In a similar spirit, Russia might become comfortable sharing cutting-edge military-technical knowledge with China to counterbalance US moves in Japan, which could extend to their shared North Korean ally too.

Although the lion’s share of Pakistan’s military-technical equipment comes from China, the US might break into this market if Chinese exports decrease due to the Sino-Indo rapprochement, which could also lead to a decrease in American exports to India and the need to replace them with exports to Pakistan. Russia might even regain its traditional role as India’s top supplier by far if exports to it spike in response to more US exports to Pakistan in a de facto revival of the region’s Old Cold War-era military dynamics.

All of these strategic dynamics set the stage for a security dilemma between the Eurasian Rimland (NATO, Pakistan, and the “Asian/Containment Crescent”) and the Eurasian Heartland (RIC) instigated by the US in order to “re-establish deterrence” vis-à-vis the Sino-Russo Entente. The purpose is to pressure one of them or their shared Indian partner into capitulating to the US so as to then more effectively divide-and-rule the supercontinent. This hegemonic plot will define Eurasia’s 21st-century geopolitics.

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Trump 2.0’s Eurasian Balancing Act Has Failed

Guest Post by Andrew Korybko

His arrogant and aggressive behavior towards Russia, India, and China is responsible for this.

The global systemic transition to multipolarity is nowadays proceeding along a different trajectory than before due to recent shifts in the international system. Up until this point, Trump 2.0 sought resource and military partnerships with Russia and India respectively that could decelerate China’s superpower rise, which would then make it the junior partner in any “G2”/“Chimerica” deal. His Eurasian balancing act has failed, however, due to his arrogant and aggressive approach towards all three countries.

Ties with Russia took a hit after the Anchorage Summit following increasingly concerning reports about US plans to support NATO troops in Ukraine, thus spooking Putin into abandoning his country’s own Eurasian balancing act by pivoting to China. This took the form of the legally binding deal that was just clinched for constructing the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline. The US’ envisaged resource-centric partnership with Russia, which aimed to entice concessions on Ukraine, is now much less likely.

As for India, ties worsened during its springtime clashes with Pakistan, which saw Trump favor Pakistan and even lie about India agreeing to an alleged US-mediated ceasefire. The US then hypocritically imposed punitive tariffs on India over its continued trade with Russia despite eschewing such for China and others. All the while, Trump viciously insulted India too. Concluding that he’s hellbent on derailing its rise as a Great Power, India swiftly patched up its problems with China and distanced itself from the US.

With Russia pivoting to China via Power of Siberia 2 amidst the Sino-Indo rapprochement, the resource and military means for decelerating China’s superpower rise through partnerships with them were neutralized, thus leading to any “G2”/“Chimerica” deal now being in China’s favor instead. President Xi Jinping accordingly espoused stronger rhetoric about reshaping the world order during his speeches at the SCO Summit and V-J Day, which prompted Trump to accuse him of “conspiring” against the US.

The interim Sino-US trade deal is now in jeopardy after he just threatened the imposition of 100% tariffs on China by 1 November or earlier depending on when China imposes its export controls on rare earth minerals. Coupled with his dramatic accusation that Xi is “conspiring” against the US in collusion with Putin and Kim Jong Un, this could presage future military-strategic tensions, even if only indirectly via proxy. That would further destabilize Eurasia per the US’ traditional divide-and-rule stratagem.

In clockwise order, these could take the form of: fomenting Color Revolution unrest in Mongolia in order to undermine Power of Siberia 2; Japan, Taiwan, and/or the Philippines provoking an incident with China at sea in contested waters; obstructing China’s access to rare earth minerals in Myanmar’s Kachin State; and/or sowing instability in Central Asia via NATO member Turkiye through the new TRIPP Corridor. China’s response to these scenarios could be to arm Russia and even send troops to help it in Ukraine.

Xi saw how Trump mistreated his friend Modi despite him leading a state that could have joined the US’ anti-Chinese axis, while also watching how he’s betraying Putin in Ukraine after Anchorage, so he expects similar treatment if he agrees to a “G2”/ “Chimerica” deal. He also knows that China now has a target on its back after the latest tariffs and Trump accusing him of a “conspiracy”. It’s therefore little wonder that Trump 2.0’s Eurasian balancing act, which was characterized by arrogance and aggression, has failed.

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The SCO & BRICS Play Complementary Roles In Gradually Transforming Global Governance

Guest Post by Andrew Korybko

The processes that are unfolding will take a lot of time to complete, perhaps even a generation or longer, so expectations of a swift transition to full-blown multipolarity should be tempered.

The recent SCO Leaders’ Summit in Tianjin drew renewed attention to this organization, which began as a means for settling border disputes between China and some former Soviet Republics but then evolved into a hybrid security-economic group. Around two dozen leaders attended the latest event, including Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who paid his first visit to China in seven years. Non-Western media heralded the summit as an inflection point in the global systemic transition to multipolarity.

While the SCO is more invigorated than ever given the nascent Sino-Indo rapprochement that the US was inadvertently responsible for, and BRICS is nowadays a household name across the world, both organizations will only gradually transform global governance instead of abruptly like some expect. For starters, they’re comprised of very diverse members who can only realistically agree on broad points of cooperation, which are in any case strictly voluntary since nothing that they declare is legally binding.

What brings SCO and BRICS countries together, and there’s a growing overlap between them (both in terms of members and partners), is their shared goal of breaking the West’s de facto monopoly over global governance so that everything becomes fairer for the World Majority. To that end, they seek to accelerate financial multipolarity processes via BRICS so as to acquire the tangible influence required for implementing reforms, but this also requires averting future domestic instability scenarios via the SCO.

Nevertheless, the BRICS Bank complies with the West’s anti-Russian sanctions due to most members’ complex economic interdependence with it, and there’s also reluctance to hasten de-dollarization for precisely that reason. As for the SCO, its intelligence-sharing mechanisms only concern unconventional threats (i.e. terrorism, separatism, and extremism) and are hamstrung to a large degree by the Indo-Pak rivalry, while sovereignty-related concerns prevent the group from becoming another “Warsaw Pact”.

Despite these limitations, the World Majority is still working more closely together than ever in pursuit of their goal of gradually transforming global governance, which has become especially urgent due to Trump 2.0’s casual use of force (against Iran and as threatened against Venezuela) and tariff wars. China is at the center of these efforts, but that doesn’t mean that it’ll dominate them, otherwise proudly sovereign India and Russia wouldn’t have gone along with this if they expected that to be the case.

The processes that are unfolding will take a lot of time to complete, perhaps even a generation or longer, due in no small part to leading countries like China’s and India’s complex economic interdependence with the West that can’t abruptly be ended without dealing immense damage to their own interests. Observers should therefore temper any wishful thinking hopes of a swift transition to full-blown multipolarity in order to avoid being deeply disappointed and possibly becoming despondent as a result.

Looking forward, the future of global governance will be shaped by the struggle between the West and the World Majority, which respectively want to retain their de facto monopoly and gradually reform this system so that it returns to its UN-centric roots (albeit with some changes). Neither maximalist scenario might ultimately enter into force, however, so alternative institutions centered on specific regions like the SCO vis-à-vis Eurasia and the AU vis-à-vis Africa might gradually replace the UN in some regards.

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SCO+ Summit 2025 – Towards a New Global Reality. Towards A Multipolar World Order?

What the 20th Century was to the West — the next 100 Years will be to the Global South *Editors note* That’s assuming we have 100 years left, we don’t. Time is short! That being said the power structure of the world has shifted from the West to the East, just I’ve been saying for years! JS

By Dr. F. Andrew Wolf, Jr. Reposted with permission by globalresearch.ca

History will record the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Tianjin, China this year as a pivotal moment in the evolution towards a new world order.

The SCO’s burgeoning role as a critical player in the development of a multipolar world was demonstrated this week. It illustrated the Global South’s solidarity with its defining principles: the recognition of sovereignty, non-interference and a rebuttal to the West’s hegemonic model of globalization under the guise of ‘liberal democracy’.

Significance of the event was also connoted through its symbolism —its proximity to the September 3 military parade in Beijing, marking not just the end of World War II but the 80th anniversary of China’s victory in the Sino-Japanese War.

Russian President Vladimir Putin was conspicuous as an omnipresent figure at both the summit and parade events – carrying both symbolic weight and strategic meaning.

Moscow continues to advance its role as a reliable interface between nations across Asia and the Middle East – a role of consequence, especially today, given the shifting center of gravity in geopolitical affairs toward Asia and the Global South.

The Russian president’s remarks at the summit were characteristic of his vision of the future; he reiterated the import of adopting and implementing the SCO Development Program through the remainder of the decade. It defines the group’s strategic path towards establishing a carefully-conceived foundation for orchestrating economic and infrastructure initiatives.

Perhaps of equal significance was Moscow’s enthusiastic support for Beijing’s proposal to establish an SCO Development Bank. In addition to financing infrastructure projects, it would assist member countries in reducing their dependence on Western financial institutions and lessen the impact of Western sanctions – pressures which – with varying degrees of severity — Russia, China, Iran, India and others continue to experience.

The imagery from China indicates how the Russian president’s attendance at the summit carried both concrete and symbolic significance: As occurred previously in May, Moscow and Beijing continue to signal their determination to defend historical – not revisionist – truth.

The arrival in Tianjin of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi brought into specific relief New Delhi’s strategic flexibility and willingness to revisit and advance its relationship with China. In the face of unmitigated pressure from US President Donald Trump, the visit amounted to a definitive statement of India’s shift from historical non-alignment to strategic autonomy.

Modi’s talks with Xi Jinping – his first visit to China in seven years – symbolized their intent to resolve differences. Their continuing border dispute notwithstanding, the countries signaled a willingness to remove obstacles – and move closer. 

Xi remarked to the Indian prime minister that true ‘normalization’ between their nations had actually begun last year at the BRICS summit in Kazan, when both nations deescalated a tense situation. The two sides should “not let the border issue define the overall China-India relationship,” Xi said, adding that economic development should be their main focus.

Modi, referring to relations with Beijing as a ‘partnership’, announced the resumption of direct flights and even voiced an intent to reduce India’s trade deficit with China. 

A priority for India lies in multilateral relationships that augment a multipolar system concerning geopolitical affairs. New Delhi has consistently defended its right to pursue a multi-directed, autonomous foreign policy, viewing Global South initiatives (e.g. SCO and BRICS+) as pivotal in strengthening its sovereignty, pragmatism of strategic autonomy and global relevance.

While India attempts to eschew diplomatic issues with the US, its message is categorical: New Delhi will not accept ‘bullying’, especially with issues impacting national and regional priorities.

The symbolism of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, also being present at the gathering, was evident. The leader of a NATO-member state attending the SCO summit connoted to the Western alliance that Ankara intends to assert a more sovereign, self-defined foreign policy. 

This reflects Türkiye’s concept of ‘strategic flexibility’, in which the SCO is viewed as more than a forum for regional cooperation; rather, it is a platform for extending Turkish influence and securing access to key assets – from transport corridors to energy markets.

The Tianjin summit welcomed as well the presidents of Belarus, Iran and Pakistan along with Malaysia, Armenia and Azerbaijan signaling their interest in full membership. The wide geographical mix of attendees illustrates that the SCO is moving beyond Eurasia — developing toward a nucleus of an alternative global order.

The Tianjin Declaration, delineating the principles uniting SCO member states was a pivotal outcome of the summit – delineating non-interference in internal affairs, respect for sovereignty, rejection of the use or threat of force and opposition to unilateral sanctions as instruments of coercion. It expressed the common vision of the organization.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov commented:

“The main outcome of the SCO and SCO+ summits is the shared determination to uphold our rights, without yielding to provocations, in full compliance with international law, the UN Charter, and the principles of the international monetary, financial, and trade systems – the very principles once promoted by the West itself.”

The summit in China manifested more than imagery and words – it confirmed the reality of a multipolar world order – a concept Putin has advanced for years. One thing is certain — it can no longer be treated theoretically. The SCO has given ‘multipolarity’ institutional integrity – steadily expanding, gaining influence and authority throughout the Global South.

The organization is reviewing applications from some ten countries seeking observer or dialogue partner status – indicating a burgeoning interest in the SCO as an alternative center of power in geopolitical affairs.

And one must not overlook rising interest in the SCO from the Arab world. Bahrain, Egypt, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are already SCO dialogue partners – nations central to the Middle East’s energy and investment hierarchy. This indicates that a new geopolitical axis linking Eurasia and the Middle East is becoming a reality – with the SCO emerging as a viable alternative to the West’s hegemonic model.

The SCO today is no longer a regional structure; rather, it is a strategic center of gravity in geopolitical affairs. What was once disparaged by the West as a mere ‘regional club’ has matured into a meaningful platform for the Global South – a geopolitical entity with expanding membership, burgeoning economic vigor and a shared political horizon – a new political reality.

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F. Andrew Wolf, Jr. is director of The Fulcrum Institute, a new organization of current and former scholars, which engages in research and commentary, focusing on political and cultural issues on both sides of the Atlantic. After service in the USAF (Lt.Col.-Intel) Dr. Wolf obtained a PhD-philosophy (Wales), MA-theology (Univ. S. Africa), MTh-philosophical theology (TCU-Brite Div.). He taught philosophy, humanities and theology in the US and S. Africa before retiring from university.

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Strategic failure of anti-India sanctions shows the end of US hegemony

The US is trying to sanction all countries involved in creating a multipolar order, but this strategy is only further accelerating the process of change in the geopolitical order.

Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Associations, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert.

Recently, US President Donald Trump imposed a package of sanctions against India, allegedly due to the country’s partnership with Russia. Trump claims that it is necessary to sever all economic ties with Moscow to prevent the continuation of the conflict in Ukraine—shamefully reprising the rhetoric of his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, and completely ignoring the geopolitical circumstances around the war.

However, it is naive to think that the reasons for Trump’s punitive paranoia are limited to the Russian-Ukrainian issue. There’s no doubt he wants to punish Russia and its partners, as any mainstream American politician does. But his intention isn’t exactly to “end the war.” Even if India were to cut ties with Russia (which is not going to happen), this would not be enough to end the conflict, since Russia will continue its special military operation until all its objectives are achieved on the battlefield.

There is therefore a deeper reason for these sanctions to be imposed. And Trump’s own narrative reveals this. It’s important to remember that, before officially adopting the anti-Russian rhetoric against India, Trump and other American officials had already begun discussing the possibility of “punishing” India using other arguments. For example, Washington has been baselessly accusing India of being a key player in the US drug market for months.

The US accuses India of exporting chemicals used in the production of fentanyl consumed by American drug addicts. Months ago, some Indian pharmaceutical and chemical companies were blacklisted by the US for allegedly being involved in the international fentanyl trade network. As has become commonplace in Western accusations, the coercive measures were not justified by any real evidence of this alleged Indian involvement in opioid trafficking.

So, it seems the US was determined to impose sanctions on India regardless of the circumstances and excuses. Initially, they tried to do so by using the fentanyl excuse, which was obviously seen as ridiculous by the public, as the US government was clearly trying to use India as a scapegoat for its own domestic problems with mass drug addiction and a deteriorating healthcare system. Now, Trump is doing so more blatantly, openly stating that he wants an end to Indo-Russian trade.

However, Trump is still not sincere. He knows he won’t be able to end the war simply by imposing trade sanctions on Russia’s partners. By sanctioning India, the US isn’t trying to change the military situation, but simply trying to impose its will on other sovereign countries in a desperate attempt to rescue its decaying unipolar hegemony.

This American strategy, however, is failing. Soon after the sanctions were announced, India began launching a series of initiatives even more contrary to American interests. Ajit Doval, India’s National Security Advisor and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s top security official, visited Moscow on August 7th and directly discussed important issues in the bilateral partnership with Russian President Vladimir Putin, further strengthening Indo-Russian ties. Similarly, it was announced that Putin plans to visit India later in 2025, a major move considering that the Russian leader is currently restricting his international travel to only Russia’s main allies.

Not only that, but India also responded to the American initiative by even reaching out to China. Modi announced that he will soon visit Beijing. This will be the Indian leader’s first trip to China in more than seven years, demonstrating substantial development in bilateral ties. Despite being countries with some opposing interests and historical disputes, India and China converge on a common goal: to unite against Western sanctions and achieve a multipolar geopolitical order, free from unilateral Western impositions.

In practice, what is happening is clear proof that the American sanctions strategy no longer has any practical effect on global geopolitics. The experience of countries like Russia, China, Iran, and more recently, India shows that each attempt to “punish” them results in further incentive for multipolar integration measures, economic de-dollarization, and the growth of multilateral dialogue among emerging nations. By sanctioning rival countries, the US forces them to remain united and cooperative.

This dynamic reveals a fundamental mistake in the American approach to foreign policy: it assumes that coercion breeds compliance. In reality, coercion increasingly leads to resistance—and worse for Washington, cooperation among those it seeks to isolate. India’s swift moves to strengthen ties with Russia and signal rapprochement with China are not mere diplomatic gestures; they are strategic recalibrations. Faced with hostility from the West, these nations are accelerating efforts to create a parallel global system—economically, diplomatically, and militarily—independent of Western dominance.

Moreover, India’s response demonstrates that countries in the Global South are no longer willing to accept second-tier status in a Western-led order. As the heir of an ancient civilization, the world’s most populous democracy and a rapidly growing economy, India understands its leverage. It recognizes that the US needs its cooperation just as much—if not more—than India needs American approval. The failed sanctions only serve to undermine US credibility, revealing desperation rather than strength.

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Also in today’s video: A chilling 2019 study had predicted a nuclear war between Pakistan and India in 2025 and what could happen and none of it is good! Billions would starve because of the nuclear winter that would happen and that’s in addition to the 50-125 million that would perish from the blasts in India and Pakistan.

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