Tag Archives: #Market

“Wall Street Has No Concept of the Magnitude of This” — Markets Are Sleepwalking Into an Oil Shock

Oil refinery with empty storage tanks at dusk and dark storm clouds approaching

Former Goldman Sachs commodities chief Jeff Currie says markets are treating a deepening global oil deficit like a routine price fluctuation, even as inventories rapidly drain toward crisis levels.

“You’re borrowing oil from the future” and Wall Street isn’t forecasting anything:

U.S. distillate inventories have collapsed from 120 days of supply to 102 in just weeks. “You’re going to be out” in days, he says.

Currie mocked banks for simply chasing spot prices higher rather than modeling the implications of shrinking inventories: “That’s a mark to market. They’re not actually forecasting anything.”

He added: “Either they’re being censored or they have no concept of the magnitude of this.”

Trump watches bond yields:

“Notice he always cuts a deal every single time the 10-year hits 4.4%.” Currie argues Trump’s real fear is oil driving inflation and interest rates higher, threatening the U.S. debt market.

The AI Complacency Trap

Some argue oil doesn’t matter because the energy intensity of GDP is falling and hyperscalers are spending toward $1 trillion in AI capex. Currie’s response: “What is the biggest input into AI compute? It’s called oil, energy, diesel, gas. They don’t even ask what the price of AI compute is. They assume it’s zero.”

The US will run out of oil and fuel within 2 months unless something changes. Prayed up and prepped up!

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