I’m going to paste an except from Hal Turner’s site in which Dr. Eric Ding, Harvard University gives us the dire forecast of what is to come. Oh wait it’s probably a fake doctor or a crisis actor right? Wrong. Here are Dr. Ding’s credentials: https://www.dfhcc.harvard.edu/insider/member-detail/member/eric-l-ding/
This will be as bad if not worse than the Spanish Flu of 1918. I don’t care what other so called truther channels are saying, this is no hoax. God bless and take care.
MEDICAL MARTIAL LAW
From Dr. Eric Ding, at Harvard University:
“The new coronavirus Has an R0 value of 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value?
It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad – never seen an actual virality coefficient like this in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating…
“We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing.
We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year.
We predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that.
Travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.
Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage. With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that…
A basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.
SUMMARY: so what does this mean for the world??? We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS’s modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS…
Cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic’s spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.
Thus, I really hate to be the epidemiologist who has to admit this, but we are potentially faced with an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza.”
You can read an amazing summary of today’s events on Hals site HERE